Making the Case

• Decent Passer
• Room to Grow
• Offensive Success
• Rushing Impact
• Winner
• Improving Situation
• Fantasy Points

Jalen Hurts has been a topic of debate since the moment he took over as PHI’s starting QB.

I’m here to make the case FOR him as a starting QB in the NFL & tell you why I believe he is a BUY.

To start – he’s a better passer than many would give him credit for.

Let’s start with his TD/INT ratio.

Even as a rookie, thrown into a 3-9-1 team, with a struggling o-line, & WR corps headlined by Greg Ward, Travis Fulgham, & rookies Jalen Reagor & Quez Watkins…

Jalen Hurts stepped right in & produced a 6/4 TD/INT ratio – in roughly 4 games of action.

Including a 338-yard 3TD/0INT performance (with another 63 rushing yards & a rushing TD) in just his 2nd career start, Week 15 at AZ.

He followed up a strong rookie year with a 16/9 TD/INT ratio in 2021 – his first full season as starter.

His INT% (2.1%) ranked 12th best in the NFL.

& his bad-throw % (14.0%) ranked 3rd best – behind only Joe Burrow & Jimmy G.

As a passer, in 2021, Hurts ranked:

• 8th in on-target % (78.2%)
• 14th in yards/attempt (7.3)
• 15th in adjusted net yards/attempt (6.35)
• 19th in QBR (48.5)

He did so:

• In his first full season as a starter

With:

• A rookie head coach
• A rookie WR1
• Jalen Reagor & Quez Watkins starting 12+ games at WR
• Boston Scott & rookie Kenneth Gainwell starting 5 games at RB

Last year, with Hurts under center, PHI was 12th in points per-game (26.1) & 14th in yards per-game (359.9).

They made the playoffs with a 9-8 record.

Even under all of the sub-optimal circumstances listed above.

As long as Jalen Hurts keeps scoring points & taking care of the football – his chances of keeping a starting job are strong.

& so far he has succeeded at both scoring points & protecting the football – in less than ideal circumstances.

He’s been a better passer than people give him credit for – & there’s plenty of room for growth as he settles into YR2 in the same system with an improving cast of surrounding weaponry.

& he doesn’t need to grow a whole lot.

If Jalen Hurts & his offense make even incremental improvements – they’re legitimately a Top-10 offense in 2022.

They’re also a strong bet to compete for the NFC East title once again.

& that puts Hurts in firm position to solidify himself as the foundation which PHI chooses to continue building around.

On the off chance Jalen Hurts stops scoring points & creating yards, starts turning the ball over, & PHI starts losing games & looks elsewhere in 2023 – Hurts has already shown & likely will continue to show enough potential to earn another year starting somewhere else.

Even with incoming rookies in 2022 & 2023 – look around the league. The bar for starting QB’s is incredibly low right now – & Jalen Hurts has MORE THAN cleared that bar.

Someone somewhere will take a shot.

There is no doubt at all that Jalen Hurts will score a shitload of fantasy points as long as he starts.

He was QB7 in PPG both as a rookie & last year in 2021.

That means betting on him is only making one bet – that he starts.

As long as he does – the production is guaranteed.

That’s a much simpler bet than a bet on a QB like Tua – who needs to both start AND improve his production, significantly.

& right now you can buy Hurts for Tua, straight up. You should do that.

You can also sell T-Law for Hurts+. You should do that too.

If you can add a small + to Mac Jones or Zach Wilson for Hurts you should do that también.

If you can trade any rookie pick after 1.02 for Hurts you should do that immediately.

You should also feel comfortable sending the 1.01 or 1.02 for him if you wish.

Jalen Hurts is a strong bet to give you *at least* 2 Top-7 QB finishes & can be an integral part of competing teams over the next 2 years, at worst.

At best, he’s a foundational QB asset for 4+ seasons aka the most valuable type of asset there is in dynasty (behind Kyle Pitts).

I believe the downside is priced in & the upside is more than worth the risk.

I am IN on Jalen Hurts at his current asking price & will be continuing to invest.

I fully expect him to cement himself as a starting NFL QB in 2022.