Making the Case

• College Dominator
• Tackle-Breaker
• Early-Declare
• Draft Capital
• Athleticism/Build
• Receiving Ability
• Pass-Blocking Ability
• NFL Production
• Melvin Gordon (?)

Javonte Williams is my #1 RB trade target in Dynasty right now & I wanted to take a moment to explain why.

As most of you know – Javonte was great in college.

But just how great?

He played immediately as a true FR.

Put up 166/933/5 rushing & 17/176/1 receiving as a SO.

Before EXPLODING for 157/1140/19 & 25/305/3 receiving as a JR.

Even with NFL-bound Michael Carter in the same backfield – Javonte finished with a 30.4% Dominator Rating his JR. year (68th percentile).

He averaged 7.3 YPC (93rd percentile).

& commanded 9.2% of UNC’s targets (73rd percentile).

Most impressively – as a JR., he broke 75 tackles on just 157 rushing attempts, leading the entire NCAA while breaking PFF’s all-time record for broken tackle rate (.48).

He gained an absurd 831 of his 1140 rushing yards AFTER contact.

To put a cherry on top – he declared early.

Why is that important?

Here’s a chart of RB selections over the past 10 years, early-declares vs non-early declares, & their PPG finishes (provided by SharpFootball).

Just by declaring-early, Javonte has a 24.4% chance of producing at least one RB1 PPG finish.

The NFL also gave him their stamp of approval when DEN drafted him RD2, 35th overall.

He’s also a phenomenal athlete.

He may not have top-end speed (4.57 Pro Day 40), but his 36” vertical at 5’10”/212 confirms elite-level explosiveness.

(Here’s a thread I wrote last year touching on the relevance of the vertical jump for RB’s).

That explosive athleticism + tackle-breaking ability is already transferring to the NFL.

Javonte has broken 5 tackles on his first 39 NFL rushing attempts & is currently top-5 in the NFL in juke-rate, as a rookie.

Just look at the dude. It’s poetry in motion.

In addition to being one the best tackle-breakers in the game – he’s also an above-average receiver.

After putting up a 73rd percentile target share as a JR., Javonte has had at least 1 reception in each of his first 3 NFL games.

He’s pacing for 28 receptions through his first 3 games, as a rookie, in a timeshare.

Which suggests he can be 40+ reception, potentially 50+ reception RB in YR2 & beyond.

He’s also a polished pass-blocker.

On 64 pass-blocking snaps as a JR. at UNC, he only allowed 2 pressures & 2 hurries.

In 3 games as a pro, he hasn’t allowed a single pressure on any of his 11 pass-blocking attempts.

He currently has an 85.4 pass-blocking grade from PFF, 4th highest among ALL RB’s.

For perspective, his veteran counterpart, Melvin Gordon, currently has a 67.1 pass-blocking grade from PFF, 19th among all RB’s.

Put everything together & Javonte Williams appears to be a legitimate 3-down WORKHORSE in the making – with absolutely ZERO flaws.

& I haven’t even talked about the Broncos scouting team comping Javonte to Ezekiel Elliot…

Or Teddy Bridgewater comparing him to Alvin Kamara…

All of the evidence is there & it is OVERWHELMING.

Buy Javonte Williams & you’re getting the next Joe Mixon, at worst.

The next Ezekiel Elliot, at best.

The best part about it?

His price tag comes with a Melvin-Gordon-discount.

Right now you can turn Derrick Henry, Aaron Jones, Zeke, Mixon, Chubb, CEH, into Javonte Williams+ (or ++), even though Javonte’s likely to surpass most (if not all) of them in value straight-up by the end of the season when Gordon hits FA.

With how short RB shelf lives are, if you’re not directly competing for a Championship this year, it’s the PERFECT time to buy, to flip a vet RB, while you can still get that + on top, for what looks to almost assuredly be one of the next big things at RB.

Go get Javonte.

NOW.